Giverny Capital Inc. 13F holdings and portfolio analysis

ReadyGiverny Capital Inc. · Francois Rochon

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Baseline

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Baselinetested
Strategy Q&A reference3 reference Q&A

Pre-generated Q&A about this fund. Use as reference context for your own analysis.

baseline13FChat AI
What does directly following the disclosed baseline portfolio expose an investor to?

Directly following the baseline means accepting a concentrated stock-picking portfolio with meaningful single-name and sector bet risk. In the strategy artifact, the top 5 holdings make up 35.69%, the top 10 reach 60.74%, and the top 20 reach 90.56%. Sector exposure is led by Financials at 30.65%, Consumer Discretionary at 22.17%, Industrials at 16.25%, and Communication Services at 15.07%. That structure produced a 10.07% annualizedReturn, but also a -40.10% maxDrawdown and 0.61 Sharpe, so investors are getting concentrated active risk rather than index-like diversification.

Show me how much of the baseline risk comes from Financials and Consumer Discretionary versus the top individual positions.
baseline13FChat AI
Which recent baseline periods best explain the risk-return trade-off?

The recent baseline trade-off is best illustrated by a few sharp contrasts. The strongest recent quarter was 2024-06-30, when optimizedReturn was 12.39% versus benchmarkReturn of 9.83%, for +2.56% excess with 12.06 turnover. By contrast, 2025-06-30 was a clear weak point: optimizedReturn was -6.64% against benchmarkReturn of 4.20%, a -10.84% excess result. Another useful contrast is 2025-03-31, where the baseline still made 2.64% but badly lagged SPY’s 9.22%, producing -6.58% excess. These periods show the baseline can win in selective quarters but can also suffer significant underperformance when its concentrated bets miss.

Plot the baseline excess return by quarter and flag the holdings or sectors that lined up with the best and worst periods.
baseline13FChat AI
What should a user inspect next before deciding whether the baseline is acceptable?

Before accepting the baseline, a user should inspect turnover, filing-lag risk, and the exact concentration path. The artifact notes estimated trading costs of 1.38 total, turnover spikes including an 85% period, and delayed filing implementation after disclosure deadlines. It is also important to review whether the latest weights still align with the user’s tolerance for concentration, because top 10 holdings are already 60.74% of the strategy portfolio and the maxDrawdown hit -40.10%. In other words, the next step is not just checking return, but validating whether lagged execution and concentration risk are acceptable in practice.

Show me the highest-turnover baseline quarters, the associated trading cost estimates, and whether those quarters improved or hurt excess return.
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